7/20排期討論

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國務院連結

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-bulletin/2020/visa-bulletin-for-july-2020.html

排期

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A表
Employment-based All Chargeability

Areas Except Those Listed

CHINA-mainland

born

EL SALVADORGUATEMALAHONDURAS INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES VIETNAM
1st C 22AUG17 C 08MAY17 C C C
2nd C 08NOV15 C 08JUL09 C C C
3rd 15APR18 22JUN16 15APR18 01JUN09 15APR18 15APR18 15APR18
Other Workers 15APR18 22JUL08 15APR18 01JUN09 15APR18 15APR18 15APR18
4th C C 01FEB17 C 15JUN18 C C
Certain Religious Workers C C 01FEB17 C 15JUN18 C C
5th Non-Regional Center

(C5 and T5)

C 22JUL15 C C C C 15MAY17
5th Regional Center

(I5 and R5)

C 22JUL15 C C C C 15MAY17
Family-Sponsored All Chargeability

Areas Except Those Listed

CHINA-mainland

born

INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 08JUL14 08JUL14 08JUL14 08DEC97 01JUN11
F2A C C C C C
F2B 01MAY15 01MAY15 01MAY15 08MAR99 01JAN11
F3 08MAY08 08MAY08 08MAY08 08JUL96 15AUG01
F4 22AUG06 22AUG06 08FEB05 01JUN98 01JUN01
B表
Employment-based All ChargeabilityAreas ExceptThose Listed CHINA-mainland

born

EL SALVADORGUATEMALAHONDURAS INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
1st C 01NOV17 C 01AUG17 C C
2nd C 01AUG16 C 15AUG09 C C
3rd 01APR19 01MAR17 01APR19 01FEB10 01APR19 01APR19
Other Workers 01APR19 01AUG08 01APR19 01FEB10 01APR19 01APR19
4th C C 01MAY17 C C C
Certain Religious Workers C C 01MAY17 C C C
5th Non-Regional Center

(C5 and T5)

C 15DEC15 C C C C
5th Regional Center

(I5 and R5)

C 15DEC15 C C C C
Family-Sponsored All Chargeability

Areas Except Those Listed

CHINA-mainland

born

INDIA MEXICO PHILIPPINES
F1 22APR15 22APR15 22APR15 08JAN00 08FEB12
F2A 01JUN20 01JUN20 01JUN20 01JUN20 01JUN20
F2B 01FEB16 01FEB16 01FEB16 15OCT99 01AUG11
F3 15APR09 15APR09 15APR09 15JUL00 22APR02
F4 15AUG07 15AUG07 22OCT05 08MAR99 08JAN02

排期評價

這個A表總體令人失望。奧本把95-99%的So分配給了印度人。中國也拿到了一點,但實在微乎其微。奧本其實明說三次。本年度他要嚴格按照規定來,So基本發給印度。

EB1給印度投放了5000-8000,

EB2 >4000

EB3 >2000

中國大約投放了 200,100, 100

本財年中國EB23最多和上年持平(高度可能達不到),EB1肯定減少,EB5最少減少30%

在今年嚴重經濟危機且CP被禁,給中國騰出了大量額度的情況下

年初都沒有估計到的最佳狀況下

再把下兩個月前進往最佳情況估計:

EB1前進4-5個月

EB2前進5-6個月

EB3前進6-7個月。